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MARKET MONITOR

Selected market data pulled from the Google Drive backup of the Rates & Markets Tracker. Only the high-signal series are shown; this intentionally excludes most secondary ECB lines and redundant tenors.

RATES / CURVE selected tenors
Bund 2YBund 10YBund 30Y
· Front-end repricing has outpaced the long end over the week, keeping the German curve flatter even as outright yields remain elevated.
RISK ASSETS indexed from 14 Aug
DAXS&P 500WTI
Key divergence: equities are broadly range-bound while oil has moved sharply higher, adding an inflationary impulse into already hawkish rates pricing.
INFLATION euro area
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CREDIT CYCLE bank lending
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POLICY PRICING prediction market
ECB SEP
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25bp hike probability
FED SEP
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25bp hike probability
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